$700k houses on $5M plots of land. California’s Wildfires highlights the Land Speculation Problem.

The recent California wildfires laid bare the shocking disparity between the replacement cost of homes and the value of the land they occupy. Many of the homes in the affected areas cost just $700k to rebuild, but the plots of land they sit on are valued at $5 million or more. This staggering gap highlights the fundamental issue: the land itself, not the buildings, holds the majority of the value.

This is a perfect example of how land speculation distorts the housing market and the economy. Landowners are banking on the rising value of land—value that is driven by society’s investments in infrastructure, schools, parks, public safety, and the desirability of the location itself. Yet they profit from this rise in value without contributing anything of their own.

The current system is regressive. Landowners benefit enormously from society’s progress while renters and the broader public bear the costs of rising housing prices, inequality, and displacement. Meanwhile, high-value land like this is locked into low-density, single-family housing, despite the clear need for housing that better serves the community.

A land value tax (LVT) could change this. By taxing the value of land, rather than the buildings on it, we could discourage land hoarding and speculation while encouraging the efficient use of land. Instead of rewarding unearned profits, LVT ensures that landowners contribute back to the society that created the land’s value in the first place.

California’s wildfires are a tragedy, but they also highlight a deeper, systemic issue in our property market. It’s time to rethink our approach to land, housing, and taxation—and to address the speculative forces that have made owning a piece of dirt in California more profitable than building or creating anything on it.

The recent California wildfires laid bare the shocking disparity between the replacement cost of homes and the value of the land they occupy. Many of the homes in the affected areas cost just $700k to rebuild, but the plots of land they sit on are valued at $5 million or more. This staggering gap highlights the fundamental issue: the land itself, not the buildings, holds the majority of the value.

This is a perfect example of how land speculation distorts the housing market and the economy. Landowners are banking on the rising value of land—value that is driven by society’s investments in infrastructure, schools, parks, public safety, and the desirability of the location itself. Yet they profit from this rise in value without contributing anything of their own.

The current system is regressive. Landowners benefit enormously from society’s progress while renters and the broader public bear the costs of rising housing prices, inequality, and displacement. Meanwhile, high-value land like this is locked into low-density, single-family housing, despite the clear need for housing that better serves the community.

A land value tax (LVT) could change this. By taxing the value of land, rather than the buildings on it, we could discourage land hoarding and speculation while encouraging the efficient use of land. Instead of rewarding unearned profits, LVT ensures that landowners contribute back to the society that created the land’s value in the first place.

California’s wildfires are a tragedy, but they also highlight a deeper, systemic issue in our property market. It’s time to rethink our approach to land, housing, and taxation—and to address the speculative forces that have made owning a piece of dirt in California more profitable than building or creating anything on it.