Does Ted know what he's doing?

This scene with Trent sums it up nicely. Clearly Trent is correct, but Ted seems genuinely confused. So the question is how much does Ted have what happened planned out? Was this his end goal from season 1?

I don't think so. I think Ted does what is right in every situation and reaps the rewards. I don't think he consciously plans it out at all. In fact, I wonder of the fact he became a coach is because his inherent personality traits lead to team success. It's noted over and over that he doesn't understand the game. To put it more succinctly, I think his personality and his leadership skills naturally bring out the best in large groups and the rewards follow.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_IpzyPHYM0&ab_channel=TinaHenry